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About 3,500 words: daily, weekly and monthly trends, Fibonacci and Camarilla levels, returns decomposed and valuation against its own history, then Bull, Base and Bear cases tied to your targets and stop loss. 21 tables and 6 charts.
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Example Industries Ltd makes engineered metal components for the automotive, power-equipment and rail industries from four plants in India. (A company invented for this sample: every figure in it is made up.)
Automotive customers bring about 60% of revenue and exports about a fifth. Net profit has risen from ₹1,180 Cr in FY23 to ₹2,110 Cr in FY26, while debt has come down each year.
What drives earnings: volumes at the two largest automotive customers, the power-equipment order book, and steel prices, which are passed on with a lag of about a quarter.
| Level | Price (₹) | From entry midpoint | Risk multiple |
|---|---|---|---|
| Target 3 | 1,350.00 | +15.14% | 3.38R |
| Target 2 | 1,290.00 | +10.02% | 2.24R |
| Target 1 | 1,240.00 | +5.76% | 1.29R |
| Entry (high) | 1,180.00 | +0.64% | — |
| Entry (low) | 1,165.00 | −0.64% | — |
| Stop loss | 1,120.00 | −4.48% | −1.00R |
Buy at ₹1,165 – ₹1,180 (midpoint ₹1,172.50), stop loss ₹1,120: a risk of ₹52.50 a share (4.48%). Targets ₹1,240 (1.3R), ₹1,290 and ₹1,350 (3.4R).
What invalidates the view: a close below ₹1,120, which is under the swing support at ₹1,163.77 and the 50-day average at ₹1,148.63. Target 1 needs the price through its 52-week high of ₹1,192.16.
Level by level: Target 1 is +5.76% from the entry midpoint and pays 1.3R; Target 3 pays 3.4R. The classic pivot at ₹1,176.90 and R1 at ₹1,187.66 are the first levels the price meets on the way.
All figures in this section describe EXAMPLE, computed from its daily prices.
| Average | Value | Price vs average | Reading |
|---|---|---|---|
| SMA 10 | 1,158.93 | +1.16% | Price above |
| EMA 10 | 1,162.98 | +0.81% | Price above |
| SMA 20 | 1,152.56 | +1.72% | Price above |
| EMA 20 | 1,155.78 | +1.44% | Price above |
| SMA 50 | 1,148.63 | +2.07% | Price above |
| EMA 50 | 1,145.06 | +2.39% | Price above |
| SMA 100 | 1,127.37 | +3.99% | Price above |
| EMA 100 | 1,128.72 | +3.87% | Price above |
| SMA 200 | 1,094.97 | +7.07% | Price above |
| EMA 200 | 1,097.23 | +6.85% | Price above |
| Indicator | Value | Reading | |
|---|---|---|---|
| RSI (14) | 60.6 | Positive momentum (above 50) | Positive |
| MACD (12, 26, 9) | 7.82 / 4.72 | MACD above signal, histogram easing (MACD above zero) | Positive |
| ADX (14) | 17.7 (+DI 24.3 / −DI 10.7) | No clear trend (ADX below 20) | Neutral |
| Stochastic (14, 3, 3) | 82.9 / 85.3 | Overbought zone (80 or above) | Neutral |
| CCI (20) | 171.8 | Strong (above +100) | Positive |
| Williams %R (14) | −33.2 | Upper half of range | Positive |
| Rate of change (12) | +2.21% | Price higher than 12 sessions ago | Positive |
| Money flow index (14) | 74.1 | Buying pressure (above 50) | Positive |
| Supertrend (10, 3) | 1,126.54 | Price above the Supertrend line | Positive |
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| ATR (14) | 16.86 (1.44% of price) |
| 52-week high / low | 1,192.16 / 978.94 |
| Bollinger upper (20, 2) | 1,178.17 |
| Bollinger middle | 1,152.56 |
| Bollinger lower | 1,126.94 |
| %B (position in the bands) | 89 |
| Historical volatility, 20-day | 11.2% |
| 20-day HV percentile (1 year) | 28 |
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Volume (last session) | 7,72,662 |
| 20-day average volume | 8,49,458 |
| Volume vs 20-day average | −9.0% |
| On-balance volume (20 sessions) | rising |
| Level | Classic | Fibonacci | Camarilla |
|---|---|---|---|
| R4 | — | — | 1,186.71 |
| R3 | 1,213.69 | 1,202.93 | 1,179.56 |
| R2 | 1,202.93 | 1,192.98 | 1,177.17 |
| R1 | 1,187.66 | 1,186.84 | 1,174.79 |
| Pivot | 1,176.90 | 1,176.90 | — |
| S1 | 1,161.64 | 1,166.96 | 1,170.01 |
| S2 | 1,150.87 | 1,160.81 | 1,167.63 |
| S3 | 1,135.61 | 1,150.87 | 1,165.24 |
| S4 | — | — | 1,158.09 |
| Swing level | Price | Touches | From price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Resistance | 1,179.68 | 1 | +0.62% |
| Support | 1,163.77 | 4 | −0.74% |
| Support | 1,123.18 | 11 | −4.20% |
| Support | 1,083.80 | 5 | −7.56% |
| 23.6% | 38.2% | 50.0% | 61.8% | 78.6% |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1,141.84 | 1,110.71 | 1,085.55 | 1,060.39 | 1,024.57 |
| Period | Return | Nifty 50 | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 week | +2.59% | +1.02% | +1.57% |
| 1 month | +2.48% | −0.56% | +3.04% |
| 3 months | +6.01% | −2.75% | +8.75% |
| 6 months | +6.00% | −5.35% | +11.35% |
| Year to date | +14.06% | −4.03% | +18.08% |
| 1 year | +15.42% | −2.25% | +17.67% |
| 3 years | +53.79% | +21.22% | +32.56% |
17 positive, 2 neutral and 0 negative of 19 readings. A rule-based count, shown for transparency; it is not a recommendation.
Price is above the 20, 50 and 200-day averages. RSI 60.6: positive momentum. MACD: MACD above signal, histogram easing. ATR 16.86 (1.44% of price).
Trend: the averages are stacked in order, 10 over 20 over 50 over 200, and the price is above all 10 of its moving averages. ADX 17.7 (no clear trend), so the rise is orderly rather than forceful.
Momentum and volatility: stochastic 82.9 / 85.3, CCI 171.8 and %B 89 in the Bollinger bands: momentum is stretched towards the top of the range. ATR is 1.44% of the price.
Across timeframes: the weekly trend is up and the monthly up. The nearest Fibonacci retracement, 38.2%, is at ₹1,110.71. Beta 1.27 to the Nifty 50; the largest fall was −5.65% over a year and −11.59% over three.
| Timeframe | Trend | Price vs 20-period SMA | RSI (14) | MACD histogram | ADX (14) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daily | Up | +1.72% | 60.6 | 3.10 | 17.7 |
| Weekly | Up | +3.37% | 64.5 | 1.15 | 38.3 |
| Monthly | Up | +13.09% | 78.3 | 5.67 | 62.2 |
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Beta to Nifty 50 (1 year) | 1.27 |
| Correlation with Nifty 50 (1 year) | 0.55 |
| Annualised volatility (1 year) | 11.9% |
| Largest fall, past year | −5.65% |
| Largest fall, past 3 years | −11.59% |
| Below the 52-week high | −1.66% |
| Up days, past year | 52% |
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Market capitalisation | ₹48,655 Cr |
| P/E (trailing 12 months) | 22.5× |
| Price to book | 4.10× |
| Dividend yield | 0.85% |
| Net margin | 11.2% |
| Return on equity | 17.8% |
| Revenue growth, latest quarter YoY | 14.6% |
| Debt to equity | 0.42× |
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Market capitalisation | ₹48,655 Cr |
| P/E (trailing 12 months) | 22.5× |
| Price to book | 4.10× |
| EV / EBITDA | 15.4× |
| Dividend yield | 0.85% |
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Net margin | 11.2% |
| Return on equity | 17.8% |
| Return on capital employed | 19.6% |
| Debt to equity | 0.42× |
| Interest cover | 9.40× |
| FY23 | FY24 | FY25 | FY26 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 12,480 | 14,120 | 16,350 | 18,840 |
| EBITDA | 2,060 | 2,410 | 2,890 | 3,410 |
| Net profit | 1,180 | 1,390 | 1,720 | 2,110 |
| EPS (₹) | 28.43 | 33.49 | 41.45 | 50.84 |
| Net margin | 9.5% | 9.8% | 10.5% | 11.2% |
| Q1 FY26 | Q2 FY26 | Q3 FY26 | Q4 FY26 | Q1 FY27 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 4,380 | 4,560 | 4,710 | 4,920 | 5,020 |
| Net profit | 478 | 503 | 529 | 556 | 571 |
| Net margin | 10.9% | 11.0% | 11.2% | 11.3% | 11.4% |
| FY23 | FY24 | FY25 | FY26 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Operating cash flow | 1,490 | 1,660 | 2,050 | 2,470 |
| Capital expenditure | −980 | −1,120 | −1,310 | −1,460 |
| Free cash flow | 510 | 540 | 740 | 1,010 |
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Net margin | 11.2% |
| × Asset turnover | 0.85× |
| × Equity multiplier | 1.87× |
| = Return on equity | 17.8% |
| FY23 | FY24 | FY25 | FY26 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21.4× | 26.8× | 23.1× | 21.6× |
P/E 22.5×, return on equity 17.8%, debt to equity 0.42×. Revenue grew 14.6% in Q1 FY27.
Growth: revenue rose from ₹12,480 Cr in FY23 to ₹18,840 Cr in FY26 (14.7% a year) and net profit faster (21.4% a year), so margins widened. Free cash flow was ₹1,010 Cr in FY26.
Returns decomposed: net margin 11.2% × asset turnover 0.85 × equity multiplier 1.87 = return on equity 17.8%: the return comes from margin, not from leverage.
A growing business in an orderly up-trend, bought near support with a defined stop. The reward to Target 3 is 3.4 times the risk. The set-up fails below ₹1,120.
The fundamentals carry the case: revenue up 14.7% a year, profit faster, debt falling and free cash flow positive. The chart agrees: 17 of 19 readings are positive. What it needs is a break of the 52-week high; what it does not need is a strong market.
The weakness to respect is valuation: at 22.5× earnings the stock prices in the growth, so a slower quarter would test the support levels before the targets.
Bull case: the price clears ₹1,192.16 on rising volume and the next results confirm the margins; Targets 1 and 2 come into reach, and Target 3 needs the up-trend to hold for weeks.
Base case: the price works between the swing support at ₹1,163.77 and the high; Target 1 is the realistic aim.
Bear case: a close below the 50-day average at ₹1,148.63, then ₹1,120: the stop loss closes the trade with the planned loss.
A bullish call with the risk defined at ₹1,120 and targets up to ₹1,350. Investments in securities are subject to market risks.
The case rests on growth and an orderly up-trend; the price must clear its 52-week high to reach the targets.
In a real report this box names where the daily prices and the company’s filings were read and when, and how each indicator is computed. Here: a made-up company and made-up figures, run through the same calculations.
The Research Analyst’s entry, stop loss and targets are shown exactly as recommended; nothing in the tables changes them.
Investment in securities market are subject to market risks. Read all the related documents carefully before investing.
Your own disclaimer prints here, word for word.
This report was prepared with the assistance of artificial-intelligence (AI) tools and was reviewed by your firm (SEBI Research Analyst, your registration number), who is solely responsible for its contents.
Research Recommendation
Your own words about the company, from your notes on the strategy.
Buy EXAMPLE at ₹1,165 – ₹1,180, stop loss ₹1,120, targets ₹1,240, ₹1,290 and ₹1,350.
Your technical note.
Your fundamental note.
Your summary.
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